AI Impact on Jobs: How can Workers Prepare?

In a previous blog, I explored the main findings from a recent MIT paper on AI’s impact on work. In this blog, I want to offer practical advice for workers worried about their jobs future. There is a lot automation anxiety surrounding the topic which often gets amplified through click-bait sensational articles. Fortunately, the research from the MIT-IBM Watson paper offers sensible and detailed enough information to help workers take charge of their careers. Here are the main highlights.

From Jobs to Tasks

The first important learning from the report is to think of your job as group of tasks rather than a homogenous unit. The average worker performs a wide range of tasks from communicating issues, solving problems, selling ideas to evaluating others. If you never thought of your job this way, here is a suggestion: track what you do in one work day. Pay attention to the different tasks you perform and write down the time it takes to complete them. Be specific enough in descriptions that go beyond “checking emails.” When you read and write emails, you are trying to accomplish something. What is it?

Once you do that for a few days, you start getting a clearer picture of your job as a collection of tasks. The next step then is to evaluate each task asking the following questions:

  • Which tasks brings the most value to the organization you are working for?
  • Which tasks are repetitive enough to be automated?
  • Which tasks can be delegated or passed on to other in your team?
  • Which tasks can you do best and which ones do you struggle the most?
  • Which tasks do you enjoy the most?

As you evaluate your job through these questions, you can better understand not just how good of a fit it is for your as an individual but also how automation may transform your work in the coming years. As machine learning becomes more prevalent, the repetitive parts of your job are most likely to disappear.

Tasks on the rise

The MIT-IBM Watson report analyzed job listings over a period of ten years and identified groups of tasks that were in higher demand than others. That is, as job change, certain tasks become more valuable either because they cannot be replaced by machine learning or because there is growing need for it.

According to the research, tasks in ascendance are:

  • Administrative
  • Design
  • Industry Knowledge
  • Personal care
  • Service

Note that the last two tend to be part of lower wage jobs. Personal care is an interesting one (i.e.: hair stylist, in-home nurses, etc.). Even with the growing trend in automations, we still cannot teach a robot to cut hair. That soft but precise touch from the human hand is very difficult to replicate, at least for now.

How much of your job consists of any of the tasks above?

Tasks at risk

On the flip side, some tasks are in decline. Some of this is particular to more mature economies like the US while others have a more general impact due to wide-spread adoption of technologies. The list of these tasks highlighted in the report are:

  • Media
  • Writing
  • Manufacturing
  • Production

The last two are no surprise as the trend of either offshoring or mechanizing these tasks has been underway for decades. The first two, however, are new. As technologies and platforms abound, these tasks either become more accessible to wider pool of workers which makes them less valuable in the workplace. Just think about what it took to broadcast a video in the past and what it takes to do it now. In the era of Youtube, garage productions abound sometimes with almost as much quality as studio productions.

If your job consists mostly of these tasks, beware.

Occupational Shifts

While looking at tasks is important, overall occupations are also being impacted. As AI adoption increases, these occupations either disappear or get incorporated into other occupations. Of those, it is worth noting that production and clerical jobs are in decline. Just as an anecdote, I noticed how my workplace is relying less and less on administrative assistants. The main result is that everybody now is doing scheduling what before used to be the domain of administrative jobs.

Occupations in ascendance are those in IT, Health care and Education/Training. The latter is interesting and indicative of a larger trend. As new applications emerge, there is a constant need for training and education. This benefits both traditional educational institutions but also entrepreneurial start ups. Just consider the rise of micro-degrees and coding schools emerging in cities all over this country.

Learning as a Skill

In short, learning is imperative. What that means is that every worker, regardless of occupation or wage level will be required to learn new tasks or skills. Long gone are the days where someone would learn all their professional knowledge in college and then use it for a lifetime career. Continual training is the order of the day for anyone hoping to stay competitive in the workplace.

I am not talking just about pursuing formal training paths through academic degrees or even training courses. I am talking about learning as a skill and discipline for you day-to-day job. Whether from successes or mistakes, we must always look for learning opportunities. Sometimes, the learning can come through research on an emerging topic. Other times, it can happen through observing others do something well. There are many avenues for learning new skills or information for those who are willing to look for it.

Do you have a training plan for your career? Maybe is time to consider one.

Tech Community Centers: The Cure for Automation Anxiety

Automation anxiety is real. In a recent Pew survey, 72 percent of Americans worry about the impact of automation on their jobs. Besides, automation is slowly becoming part of our lives: self-service cashiers in grocery stores, smart phone enabled banking, robocalls, chatbots and many other examples. As a basic rule of thumb any task that is simple and repetitive can be automated. The benefits for us as consumers are clear – convenience and lower prices. For workers, in all levels, the story is altogether different as many now worry for their livelihood. AI enabled applications could do the jobs of accountants, lawyers and managers. Automated robotic arms can destroy manufacturing jobs and automated cars can make professional drivers obsolete.

How can this be addressed? Robert E. Litan from the Brookings Institute offers four 4 practical suggestions so governments and leaders can prepare their communities for automation:

  1. Ensure the economy is at full employment – This means keeping unemployment at around 4% or lower. Economies where people who want to work are currently working will be better prepared to absorb the shocks of automation.
  2. Insure Wages – Develop an insurance system for displaced workers so they have time to make the transition into new careers. Workers need time to adapt to new circumstances and it is difficult to do so when they have not safety net to rely on.
  3. Finance Lifetime Learning – Fund worker loans to educational institutions that offer practical training for jobs in high-demand fields. This is not about pursuing new 2-4 year degrees but 6 month to 1 year certificates that can prepare workers for a new career.
  4. Targeted distressed places – Automation impact will be uneven so governments should focus their efforts in areas of greatest needs as opposed to enacting one-size-fits-all policies.

While the suggestions above are intended for governments, much of it can be applied to individuals. In short, individuals seeking to shield themselves from automation impacts should save up, train and learn often. They should also work with local organizations to help their neighbors. Strong communities are more likely to weather through automation shocks just as did though past disruptions. Here is how this could happen again.

Makerspaces

For centuries, communities were formed and held together by central spaces. Whether it is a place of worship, the town plaza, the mall or even the soccer pitch, communities were formed and nourished as people gathered around common activities. Fast forward to our time, communities small and large find themselves pulled apart by many forces. One of the main culprits is technology-enabled experiences that drive local population to replace physical interactions with those mediated by machines. While online connections can at times translate into actual face-to-face interactions (apps like Meetup allow locals with shared interest to quickly assemble), the overall trend is local isolation even as global connections flourish. We are more likely to share commonalities with people across the globe than with those just across the street.

What if technology education could become a catalyst for strengthening local communities? Recently, makerspaces are popping up in many US metro areas. They are non-profit, community-run spaces where people gather to build, learn and experiment with technology. Visiting one here in the Atlanta area, I discovered I could learn new skills from knitting, welding to programming arduinos. While classes are free, the spaces also offer paid memberships so members can get 24/7 access to the facility and storage space. I would describe it as a place that attract people who are already tinkering around with technology in their garages to do so in a group setting. This allows them to share ideas and also to pool their resources. In some cases, these centers have equipment that would be too expensive for an individual to have and maintain in their home. In this way, the maker space enhances each member’s ability to learn, tinker and experiment with new types of technology such as 3D printers and laser cutters.

Tech Community Centers

In order to become a catalyst of community renewal, maker spaces need to expand their visions into becoming community tech centers: a place where tinkerers, inventors, scientists and tech enthusiast can come together and work for the betterment of their surrounding community. Basically, it is tinkering in community for a purpose. Channeling the energy and knowledge of technical professionals into projects of community transformation. This starts with education and professional training but can go much further than that. What if these community centers could also be incubators for start-ups that create jobs in the community? What if they can also run projects creating apps, databases and predictive models for non-profits? The sky is the limit, all it is required is a desire to transform their community and vivid imagination to dream up possibilities.

Are you up to the challenge? If you know of any local initiative like this or are considering starting one, please write in the comment section or reach out through our contact form. I would love to hear your story.