As a new administration takes the reins of the federal government, there is a lot of speculation as to how they will steer policy in the area of technology and innovation. This issue is even more relevant as social media giants grapple with free speech in their platforms, Google is struggles with AI ethics and concerns over video surveillance grows. In the global stage, China moves forward with its ambitions of AI dominance and Europe continues to grapple with issues of data governance and privacy.
In this scenario, what will a Biden-Harris administration mean for AI in the US and global stage? In a previous blog, I described the decentralized US AI strategy, mainly driven by large corporations in Silicon Valley. Will a Biden administration bring continuity to this trend or will it change direction? While it is early to say for sure, we should expect 5 shifts as outlined below:
(1) Increased investment in non-military AI applications: In contrast to the $2 Bi promised by the Trump White House, Biden plans to ramp up public investment in R&D for AI and other emerging technologies. Official campaign statements promise a whopping $300 billion of investment. This is a significant change since public research funds tend to aim at socially conscious applications rather than profit-seeking ventures preferred by private investment. These investments should steer innovation towards social goals such as climate change, revitalizing the economy, and expanding opportunity. In the education front, $5 billion is earmarked for graduate programs in teaching STEM. These are important steps as nations across the globe seek to gain the upper hand on this crucial technology.
(2) Stricter bans on facial recognition: While this is mostly speculation at this point, industry observers cite Kamala’s recent statements and actions as an indication of forthcoming stricter rules. In her plan to reform the justice system, she cites concerns with law enforcement’s use of facial recognition and surveillance. In 2018, she sent letters to federal agencies urging them to take a closer look at the use of facial recognition in their practices as well as the industries they oversee. This keen interest in this AI application could eventually translate into strong legislation to regulate, curtail or even ban the use of facial recognition. It will probably fall somewhere between Europe’s 5-year ban on it and China’s pervasive use to keep the population in check.
(3) Renewed anti-trust push on Big Tech: The recent move started by Trump administration to challenge the big tech oligarchy should intensify under the new administration. Considering that the “FAMG”(Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google) group is in the avant-garde of AI innovation, any disruption to their business structures could impact advances in this area. Yet, a more competitive tech industry could also mean an increase in innovation. It is hard to determine how this will ultimately impact AI development in the US but it is a trend to watch in the next few years.
(4) Increased regulation: It is likely but not certain at this point. Every time a Democratic administration takes power, the underlying assumption by Wall Street is that regulation will increase. Compared to the previous administration’s appetite for dismantling regulation, the Biden presidency will certainly be a change. Yet, it remains to be seen how they will go about in the area of technology. Will they listen to experts and put science in front of politics? AI will definitely be a test of it. They will certainly see government as a strong partner with private industry. Also, they will likely walk back Trump’s tax cuts on business which could hamper innovations for some players.
(5) Greater involvement in the global stage: the Biden administration is likely to work closer with allies, especially in Europe. Obama’s AI principles released in 2012 became a starting point for the vigorous regulatory efforts that arose in Europe in the last 5 years. It would be great to see increased collaboration that would help the US establish strong privacy safeguards as the ones outlined by the GDPR. In regards to China, Biden will probably be more assertive than Obama but less belligerent than Trump. This could translate into restricting access to key technologies and holding China’s feet to the fire on surveillance abuses.
The challenges in this area are immense requiring careful analysis and deliberation. Brash decisions based on ideological short-cuts can both hamper innovation and fail to safeguard privacy. It is also important to build a nimble apparatus that can respond to the evolving nature of this technology. While not as urgent as COVID and the economy, the federal government cannot afford to delay reforming regulation for AI. Ethical concerns and privacy protection should be at the forefront seconded by incentives for social innovation.